Gökhan Çetinkaya — Applied ML & AI Consultant
I help companies turn ML and AI into operational decisions — not dashboards, not demos.
Istanbul · Europe & US
How I think
Most ML projects fail not because the models are wrong, but because they were never connected to a decision anyone had to make. I work backward from the decision.
My mental model for any ML project runs four layers: prediction, uncertainty, dynamics, and decisions. Most projects stop at layer one.
- Science as a guide. Proper baselines and honest evaluation before ambitious claims. A model that can't beat a simple heuristic probably shouldn't ship.
- Simplicity first. A simpler model you can explain and maintain beats a complex one you can't. Sophistication only when it buys you something concrete.
- Decision as the unit of value. From data collection to deployment — the question is always: what decision does this improve, and by how much?
Who I work best with
You are probably a technical leader — CTO, VP Engineering, Head of Data — at a company that has tried ML before. Maybe you shipped something that worked in a notebook but stalled in production. Maybe you hired a team that delivered a dashboard nobody acts on. Maybe you are now thinking about LLMs and want someone who will tell you the truth about what they can and cannot do.
I work with people who want a rigorous partner, not a vendor who executes tickets. If you need someone to build a feature in a sprint, I am not the right fit. If you need someone to help you think clearly about a high-stakes ML problem and then help you execute it — that is what I do.
How I work
- Strategy & problem framing. Clarifying where ML can realistically move the needle — and where it is the wrong tool entirely.
- Solution design & prototyping. Translating a business problem into a data and ML architecture, and building something stakeholders can test and challenge.
- Production-oriented modeling. Classical ML, LLMs, agentic systems — with real attention to data quality, reliability, and what happens six months after deployment.
- Advisory & team mentoring. Helping technical teams think more clearly about metrics, experimentation, and when to stop optimizing a model and start shipping it.
Writings
Essays on applied ML, uncertainty, and decision-making.
-
What Your Model's Mistakes Are Trying to Tell You
The mistakes your model makes are one of the richest sources of signal in an ML project — and most teams never read them. -
What Is Correlation, Really?
A word that means something precise in statistics and something much vaguer in most business conversations — and why the gap matters. -
Why Your AI Project Failed (and It Wasn't the Model)
The hard part isn't getting your model to production. The hard part is keeping it useful once it's there. -
LLMs as Glue, Not Brains
Why the organizations getting real value from LLMs are using them as connective tissue — not as reasoning engines. -
From Models to Decisions: A Practical Mental Model for Applied ML
A conceptual framework separating prediction, uncertainty, dynamics, and decisions in real-world ML systems. -
Simulation: The Missing Layer Between Models and Decisions
Why feedback loops, delays, and tail risk often dominate outcomes — and why simulation belongs between models and real decisions. -
Why Uncertainty Matters More Than Accuracy
A practical essay on why point forecasts are often insufficient, and how uncertainty reshapes real business decisions. -
Why Accuracy Is Not Enough
Why many ML projects fail at impact: model metrics aren't business KPIs, and point forecasts aren't decisions. -
Statistical / Bayesian Inference vs. Machine Learning: Rivals or Teammates?
The real question is what you trust more — your model structure or your data.
Let's talk about your problem
If you have an ML project that stalled, an initiative that produced metrics but no decisions, or a question about where AI actually fits in your roadmap — I am interested in that conversation.
No pitch deck. Just a direct conversation about whether there is a fit.
Email: hello@gokhancetinkaya.ai
LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/gokhan-cetinkaya